
As I was browsing through the articles in the Social Media section of iMedia Connection, I came across a title that made me stop and think: “Why Twitter will soon become obsolete.” The author of this article, Jason Clark, is quick to point out that he is not a Twitter hater, and actually happens to be a Twitter user himself (@clarkster). Nonetheless, he explains his theory of Twitter’s eventual demise by putting it into context with the history of social networking sites from past to present.
Clark explains that, although the term “social networks” is a popular buzzword these days, the concept is not new. Online bulletin boards, forums, and e-mail paved the way for social media as we know it today. Social media marketing has also been around for a lot longer than we realize. In fact, those annoying e-mails that we now refer to as spam were one of the earliest incarnations. Speaking of, has anyone noticed the spam-like accounts and messages that have begun to infiltrate the Twitter space? I’m talking about the Auto DMs that promise thousands of followers and plans guaranteed to get you rich quick. Clark asks what I think is a very important question: “How long will it take to wear people down dealing with these kinds of requests?”
Combine the increasing prevalence of Twitter spam with the site’s low retention rate, “limited and obscure nomenclature,” simple functionality, and the upcoming release of Google Wave, and Clark predicts that Twitter won’t stay on top for long.
While I agree with a lot of these points, I also think that Twitter will fare better than some of its predecessors. I’m definitely not an expert in social media history, but I’ve lived through most of it. I was in middle school at the time when message boards were all the rage and AOL Instant Messenger came into existence, high school when MySpace entered the scene, and a college freshman when Facebook took campuses countrywide by storm. As a self-proclaimed technology nerd, I have to admit that it’s been pretty exciting to watch the Internet develop.
I’ve never seen anything like Twitter, and although I’m pretty sure it can’t keep growing at the rate it has been, I think it will retain popularity for a long time. Just look at the ages I was when each of these sites came to be, which are coincidentally quite fitting, and you’ll see the difference between Twitter and all of the rest. Twitter has staying power because it reaches the greatest variety of users: people of different ages, professions, education levels, locations, political parties, and religious beliefs…I could go on and on.
What do you think? Will Twitter soon become obsolete? What have you witnessed as social media has developed over the years?